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Next steps Apply the SCM to other states that implemented tobacco control programs after California (e.g., Massachusetts, Oregon) Explore heterogeneous effects by analyzing how the treatment effect varies across post-treatment years using rolling-window or recursive estimations Compare SCM estimates with difference-in-differences approaches applied to the same data Investigate conformal inference methods (Chernozhukov et al., 2021) for formal confidence intervals in the SCM framework 12

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Adding four brackets to the states income tax and increasing rates on the states wealthiest households would raise more than $1 billion in new revenue each year for education, aid to cities and towns and property tax relief for struggling households