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A turning point for the chain came in 1989

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Tuinskas correctly points out, a little ambiguously, that giving consumers a choice and meeting biodegradability requirements (see side box) will be strong trends. Essentra likewise is rather hesitant to make definite projections, but Thomas nevertheless discloses that while it is difficult to predict for sure what the future will hold, we fully expect that there will be more of the same trends that we are currently seeing an even larger variety of visually different and interactive products, and [Essentra] are optimally positioned to respond to a continually changing backdrop. Further tightening of tobacco legislation as well as the advent of plain packaging are likewise going to play major roles in coming years

As such, we use the residual (unexplained sales) from the aforementioned regression as the dependent variable in a second regression which includes tax differentials and other common variables to explain the level of casual and commercial smuggling